1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 leads at 72%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 72% | +38% | $9 |
| 2 | Pittsburgh Pirates O/U 2.5 | 67% | +49% | - |
| 3 | St. Louis Cardinals O/U 2.5 | 61% | +64% | - |
| 4 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 58% | +71% | $4 |
| 5 | O/U 6.5 | 58% | +71% | $4K |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Pirates O/U 3.5 | 52% | +94% | - |
| 7 | Pittsburgh Pirates O/U 6.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | St. Louis Cardinals O/U 3.5 | 47% | +113% | - |
| 9 | O/U 7.5 | 46% | +115% | $32K |
| 10 | NRFI | 46% | +120% | $40 |
| 11 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 46% | +120% | - |
| 12 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | 44% | +125% | $28K |
| 13 | O/U 8.5 | 38% | +160% | $10K |
| 14 | Pittsburgh Pirates O/U 4.5 | 38% | +167% | - |
| 15 | Spread -1.5 | 36% | +174% | $1K |
| 16 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 33% | +203% | - |
| 17 | St. Louis Cardinals O/U 4.5 | 33% | +203% | - |
| 18 | Spread -1.5 | 32% | +217% | $85 |
| 19 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 30% | +228% | $5 |
| 20 | Pittsburgh Pirates O/U 5.5 BEST VALUE | 27% | +270% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
In the upcoming MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for September 23 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals...
This prediction market tracks whether St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates will occur, with $75K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 72%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $49K traded in the last 24 hours alone (65% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 23, 2026 at 15:15 UTC, the leading outcome is 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 72% probability, with $75K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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