The market strongly favors New York Yankees at 99%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New York Yankees | 99% | +1% | $3K |
| 2 | Milwaukee Brewers | 99% | +1% | $1K |
| 3 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 99% | +1% | $452 |
| 4 | Tampa Bay Rays | 98% | +2% | $964 |
| 5 | Atlanta Braves | 98% | +2% | $2K |
| 6 | Chicago Cubs | 96% | +4% | $5K |
| 7 | Boston Red Sox | 95% | +5% | $3K |
| 8 | Philadelphia Phillies | 90% | +10% | $21K |
| 9 | Chicago White Sox | 73% | +37% | $4K |
| 10 | San Diego Padres | 68% | +47% | $9K |
| 11 | Cleveland Guardians | 49% | +104% | $7K |
| 12 | Houston Astros | 47% | +113% | $7K |
| 13 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 39% | +156% | $13K |
| 14 | Seattle Mariners | 39% | +156% | $5K |
| 15 | Texas Rangers | 36% | +178% | $9K |
| 16 | Minnesota Twins | 14% | +590% | $4K |
| 17 | Toronto Blue Jays | 14% | +590% | $30K |
| 18 | Baltimore Orioles | 10% | +852% | $3K |
| 19 | Detroit Tigers | 6% | +1438% | $9K |
| 20 | Miami Marlins BEST VALUE | 6% | +1567% | $4K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a spot in the 2026 MLB Playoffs per the rules of the MLB. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becom...
This prediction market tracks whether MLB: Team to make postseason will occur, with $178K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: New York Yankees is priced at 99%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Recent trading volume of $19K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-28. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 26, 2026 at 19:25 UTC, the leading outcome is New York Yankees at 99% probability, with $178K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $178K, with $19K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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