1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 leads at 78%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 78% | +28% | - |
| 2 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 66% | +52% | - |
| 3 | Spread -1.5 | 56% | +80% | $2K |
| 4 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 54% | +87% | - |
| 5 | O/U 8.5 | 54% | +87% | $125 |
| 6 | NRFI | 52% | +90% | $730 |
| 7 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 46% | +115% | - |
| 8 | O/U 9.5 | 42% | +135% | - |
| 9 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 42% | +135% | - |
| 10 | Spread -2.5 | 42% | +135% | $2 |
| 11 | O/U 10.5 | 36% | +182% | $765 |
| 12 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 29% | +245% | $50 |
| 13 | Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies | 28% | +251% | $152K |
| 14 | Spread -1.5 | 20% | +413% | $14 |
| 15 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 18% | +456% | $5 |
| 16 | Spread -2.5 | 14% | +614% | - |
| 17 | Extra Innings BEST VALUE | 6% | +1438% | $57 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for August 4 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington National...
This prediction market tracks whether Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies will occur, with $155K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 78%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $129K traded in the last 24 hours alone (83% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 04, 2026 at 15:45 UTC, the leading outcome is 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 78% probability, with $155K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $155K, with $129K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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