The market strongly favors O/U 0.5 at 98%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 | 98% | +3% | $2K |
| 2 | Chicago Fire FC O/U 0.5 | 91% | +10% | $247 |
| 3 | O/U 1.5 | 88% | +13% | $2K |
| 4 | 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 86% | +16% | - |
| 5 | 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 81% | +23% | $171 |
| 6 | Chicago Fire FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 74% | +34% | - |
| 7 | O/U 2.5 | 72% | +38% | $1K |
| 8 | Portland Timbers O/U 0.5 | 72% | +38% | $374 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire FC O/U 1.5 | 70% | +44% | $252 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 67% | +49% | $39 |
| 11 | Both Teams to Score | 66% | +50% | $7K |
| 12 | 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 61% | +64% | - |
| 13 | Portland Timbers 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 51% | +96% | - |
| 14 | O/U 3.5 | 50% | +98% | $3K |
| 15 | 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 50% | +100% | $2 |
| 16 | Chicago Fire FC O/U 2.5 | 44% | +130% | $38 |
| 17 | Portland Timbers 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 44% | +130% | $56 |
| 18 | Chicago Fire FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 40% | +147% | - |
| 19 | Chicago Fire FC (-1.5) BEST VALUE | 38% | +160% | $2K |
| 20 | Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 38% | +160% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for August 16 at 6:00 PM ET.
This prediction market tracks whether Chicago Fire FC vs. Portland Timbers - More Markets will occur, with $24K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: O/U 0.5 is priced at 98%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $20K traded in the last 24 hours alone (86% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-16. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 16, 2026 at 21:15 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 at 98% probability, with $24K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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