The market strongly favors O/U 0.5 at 94%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 | 94% | +6% | $44 |
| 2 | New York City FC O/U 0.5 | 85% | +18% | $47 |
| 3 | 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 82% | +23% | - |
| 4 | O/U 1.5 | 78% | +27% | $1K |
| 5 | 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 74% | +36% | - |
| 6 | Toronto FC O/U 0.5 | 64% | +57% | - |
| 7 | New York City FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 58% | +72% | - |
| 8 | New York City FC O/U 1.5 | 57% | +75% | - |
| 9 | O/U 2.5 | 55% | +83% | $1K |
| 10 | Both Teams to Score | 55% | +83% | $899 |
| 11 | New York City FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 52% | +90% | - |
| 12 | 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 48% | +106% | $7 |
| 13 | Toronto FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 43% | +133% | - |
| 14 | 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 36% | +174% | $230 |
| 15 | New York City FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 36% | +178% | - |
| 16 | Toronto FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 35% | +186% | - |
| 17 | New York City FC (-1.5) | 34% | +199% | $1K |
| 18 | O/U 3.5 | 32% | +208% | $1K |
| 19 | New York City FC O/U 2.5 | 30% | +239% | - |
| 20 | Both Teams to Score in Second Half BEST VALUE | 29% | +245% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for July 31 at 7:30 PM ET.
This prediction market tracks whether New York City FC vs. Toronto FC - More Markets will occur, with $13K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: O/U 0.5 is priced at 94%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $11K traded in the last 24 hours alone (88% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 31, 2026 at 07:25 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 at 94% probability, with $13K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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