The market strongly favors O/U 0.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 | 100% | +0% | $6K |
| 2 | 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% | +0% | $55 |
| 3 | Philadelphia Union O/U 0.5 | 100% | +0% | $57 |
| 4 | Philadelphia Union 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% | +1% | $14 |
| 5 | 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 88% | +14% | - |
| 6 | O/U 1.5 | 88% | +14% | $4K |
| 7 | Philadelphia Union O/U 1.5 | 64% | +55% | $154 |
| 8 | Both Teams to Score | 63% | +59% | $6K |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls O/U 0.5 | 62% | +60% | $5 |
| 10 | Philadelphia Union 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 62% | +60% | - |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 62% | +63% | - |
| 12 | 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 60% | +65% | - |
| 13 | O/U 2.5 | 60% | +68% | $6K |
| 14 | Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 40% | +153% | - |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union (-1.5) | 36% | +182% | $2K |
| 16 | O/U 3.5 | 32% | +217% | $53K |
| 17 | 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 30% | +228% | - |
| 18 | Philadelphia Union O/U 2.5 | 27% | +270% | - |
| 19 | New York Red Bulls 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BEST VALUE | 26% | +285% | - |
| 20 | Philadelphia Union 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 26% | +285% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for August 29 at 7:30 PM ET.
This prediction market tracks whether New York Red Bulls vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets will occur, with $91K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: O/U 0.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $85K traded in the last 24 hours alone (94% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-29. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 30, 2026 at 00:55 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 at 100% probability, with $91K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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