St. Louis City SC leads at 68%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Louis City SC | 68% | +48% | $15K |
| 2 | Draw (St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City) | 18% | +441% | $1K |
| 3 | Sporting Kansas City BEST VALUE | 14% | +590% | $3K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Thursday, July 16, 2026 between St. Louis City SC and Sporting Kansas City.
This prediction market tracks whether St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City will occur, with $19K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward St. Louis City SC at 68%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours alone (87% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-17. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 16, 2026 at 22:25 UTC, the leading outcome is St. Louis City SC at 68% probability, with $19K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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