The market strongly favors Golden State Warriors at 91%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Golden State Warriors | 91% | +10% | $3K |
| 2 | Team A | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Team B | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Other | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Cleveland Cavaliers | 33% | +207% | $453 |
| 6 | Orlando Magic | 7% | +1318% | $394 |
| 7 | Brooklyn Nets BEST VALUE | 5% | +1861% | $384 |
| 8 | Miami Heat | 5% | +2074% | $374 |
| 9 | Indiana Pacers | 3% | +3674% | $230 |
| 10 | Charlotte Hornets | 2% | +4778% | $305 |
| 11 | Milwaukee Bucks | 2% | +5456% | $309 |
| 12 | Washington Wizards | 2% | +5961% | $195 |
| 13 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 1% | +7043% | $299 |
| 14 | Phoenix Suns | 1% | +7043% | $47K |
| 15 | Los Angeles Lakers | 1% | +10426% | $288 |
| 16 | Denver Nuggets | 1% | +12400% | $265 |
| 17 | LA Clippers | 1% | +14186% | $378 |
| 18 | San Antonio Spurs | 1% | +14186% | $326 |
| 19 | Utah Jazz | 1% | +14186% | $326 |
| 20 | Detroit Pistons | 1% | +15285% | $386 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to the next team Draymond Green officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Draymond Green does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, thi...
This prediction market tracks whether NBA Free Agency: Draymond Green Next Team will occur, with $292K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Golden State Warriors is priced at 91%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $282K traded in the last 24 hours alone (97% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 09, 2026 at 22:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Golden State Warriors at 91% probability, with $292K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $292K, with $282K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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