No clear favorite. July 17 leads at just 39%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | July 17 | 39% | +155% | $770 |
| 2 | No release by July 31 | 20% | +400% | $3K |
| 3 | July 31 | 10% | +895% | $727 |
| 4 | July 8 | 5% | +1880% | $386 |
| 5 | July 6 BEST VALUE | 5% | +1900% | $2K |
| 6 | July 12 | 5% | +2028% | $421 |
| 7 | July 29 | 4% | +2678% | $394 |
| 8 | July 28 | 4% | +2757% | $278 |
| 9 | July 22 | 3% | +3075% | $471 |
| 10 | July 25 | 3% | +3233% | $437 |
| 11 | July 27 | 3% | +3290% | $453 |
| 12 | July 9 | 3% | +3674% | $400 |
| 13 | July 16 | 2% | +4344% | $400 |
| 14 | July 21 | 2% | +4551% | $511 |
| 15 | July 15 | 2% | +5163% | $245 |
| 16 | July 14 | 1% | +7592% | $516 |
| 17 | July 3 | 1% | +9424% | $137 |
| 18 | July 23 | 1% | +9900% | $349 |
| 19 | July 26 | 1% | +9900% | $261 |
| 20 | July 5 | 1% | +9900% | $137 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and label...
This prediction market tracks whether Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...? will occur, with $16K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
No clear favorite has emerged — July 17 leads at only 39% across 20 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $16K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 27, 2026 at 21:15 UTC, the leading outcome is July 17 at 39% probability, with $16K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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