No clear favorite. No Bond chosen leads at just 23%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | No Bond chosen | 23% | +338% | $8K |
| 2 | Jacob Elordi | 11% | +826% | $2K |
| 3 | Callum Turner | 8% | +1076% | $16K |
| 4 | Jack Lowden | 8% | +1233% | $3K |
| 5 | Harris Dickinson | 7% | +1371% | $655 |
| 6 | Aaron Taylor-Johnson | 6% | +1500% | $3K |
| 7 | James Norton | 6% | +1581% | $458 |
| 8 | Henry Cavill BEST VALUE | 5% | +1880% | $291 |
| 9 | Robert James-Collier | 4% | +2432% | $303 |
| 10 | Josh O'Connor | 4% | +2432% | $2K |
| 11 | Theo James | 3% | +2799% | $410 |
| 12 | Michael B Jordan | 2% | +4067% | $404 |
| 13 | Tom Holland | 2% | +4662% | $684 |
| 14 | Tom Hardy | 2% | +5614% | $2K |
| 15 | Pierce Brosnan | 2% | +6352% | $351 |
| 16 | Timothee Chalamet | 2% | +6567% | $380 |
| 17 | Paul Mescal | 1% | +8233% | $674 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market...
This prediction market tracks whether Next James Bond actor? will occur, with $40K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by social media trends, industry insider signals, and historical patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — No Bond chosen leads at only 23% across 17 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $21K traded in the last 24 hours alone (53% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 11, 2026 at 02:55 UTC, the leading outcome is No Bond chosen at 23% probability, with $40K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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