Market is split — Player A at 50%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Player A | 50% | +100% | - |
| 2 | Player B | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Player C | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Player D | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Player E | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Other | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Connor McDavid | 44% | +127% | $9K |
| 8 | Macklin Celebrini | 12% | +770% | $1K |
| 9 | Quinton Byfield | 10% | +890% | $192 |
| 10 | Dylan Strome | 9% | +993% | $192 |
| 11 | Nathan MacKinnon | 9% | +1030% | $5K |
| 12 | Kirill Kaprizov BEST VALUE | 7% | +1349% | $293 |
| 13 | Connor Bedard | 5% | +1983% | $249 |
| 14 | Logan Stankoven | 5% | +1983% | $136 |
| 15 | Will Smith | 5% | +2051% | $138 |
| 16 | Rasmus Dahlin | 5% | +2098% | $136 |
| 17 | Mika Zibanejad | 4% | +2122% | $136 |
| 18 | Patrik Laine | 4% | +2199% | $136 |
| 19 | Nico Hischier | 4% | +2253% | $136 |
| 20 | Auston Matthews | 4% | +2310% | $599 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Hart Memorial Trophy for the 2026-27 NHL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by...
This prediction market tracks whether NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner will occur, with $33K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Player A leading at just 50%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $16K traded in the last 24 hours alone (48% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-07-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 19, 2026 at 03:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Player A at 50% probability, with $33K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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