The market strongly favors Carlos Alcaraz at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carlos Alcaraz | 100% | - | $751 |
| 2 | Flavio Cobolli | 100% | - | $7K |
| 3 | Daniil Medvedev | 100% | - | $8K |
| 4 | Ben Shelton | 100% | - | $6K |
| 5 | Arthur Fils | 100% | - | $11K |
| 6 | Frances Tiafoe | 86% | +17% | $10K |
| 7 | Novak Djokovic | 48% | +106% | $13K |
| 8 | Rafael Jodar | 33% | +199% | $18K |
| 9 | Taylor Fritz | 13% | +672% | $7K |
| 10 | Tommy Paul BEST VALUE | 8% | +1207% | $2K |
| 11 | Matteo Arnaldi | 3% | +2799% | $20 |
| 12 | Arthur Fery | 3% | +2885% | $10 |
| 13 | Ignacio Buse | 3% | +2977% | $89 |
| 14 | Valentin Vacherot | 3% | +3179% | $25 |
| 15 | Learner Tien | 3% | +3233% | $240 |
| 16 | Jiri Lehecka | 2% | +3900% | $3K |
| 17 | Alexander Blockx | 2% | +3900% | - |
| 18 | Jakub Mensik | 2% | +4155% | $555 |
| 19 | Felix Auger-Aliassime | 2% | +4551% | $7K |
| 20 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 2% | +4900% | $399 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, It...
This prediction market tracks whether Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify will occur, with $118K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Carlos Alcaraz is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $24K traded in the last 24 hours alone (20% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-07. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Nov 04, 2026 at 15:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Carlos Alcaraz at 100% probability, with $118K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $118K, with $24K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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