No clear favorite. David Allara leads at just 16%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Allara | 16% | +523% | $1K |
| 2 | Harry Gray | 16% | +525% | $2K |
| 3 | Shankar Balasubramanian | 14% | +590% | $805 |
| 4 | David Liu | 14% | +590% | $2K |
| 5 | Stephen Buchwald | 14% | +641% | $1K |
| 6 | Pieter Cullis | 8% | +1076% | $80 |
| 7 | Chi-Huey Wong | 8% | +1076% | $40 |
| 8 | Peter G. Schultz | 8% | +1150% | $1K |
| 9 | James Collins | 8% | +1233% | - |
| 10 | Bonnie Bassler | 7% | +1329% | $728 |
| 11 | Takuzo Aida | 6% | +1438% | $102 |
| 12 | Michele Parrinello | 6% | +1438% | $42 |
| 13 | Krzysztof Matyjaszewski | 6% | +1487% | $2K |
| 14 | Craig Crews | 6% | +1718% | $40 |
| 15 | Makoto Fujita | 6% | +1718% | $80 |
| 16 | Stephen Lippard | 6% | +1718% | $3K |
| 17 | Tao Zhang | 6% | +1718% | - |
| 18 | Kazunari Domen | 5% | +1769% | $3K |
| 19 | JoAnne Stubbe BEST VALUE | 5% | +1805% | $304 |
| 20 | John Kasianowicz | 5% | +1941% | $280 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
The Nobel Prize in Chemistry is awarded annually by the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. The 2026 Nobel Prize in Chemistry is scheduled to be announced on October 7, 2026, at 11:45 AM CEST (5:45 AM...
This prediction market tracks whether Nobel Chemistry Prize Winner 2026 will occur, with $29K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by social media trends, industry insider signals, and historical patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — David Allara leads at only 16% across 20 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $29K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-08. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 06, 2026 at 16:15 UTC, the leading outcome is David Allara at 16% probability, with $29K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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