No clear favorite. Yulia Navalnaya leads at just 8%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $16.6M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yulia Navalnaya | 8% | +1233% | $155K |
| 2 | Donald Trump | 6% | +1438% | $2.7M |
| 3 | Volodymyr Zelenskyy BEST VALUE | 6% | +1624% | $465K |
| 4 | UNRWA | 5% | +2028% | $1.9M |
| 5 | Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani | 4% | +2432% | $609K |
| 6 | Pope Leo XIV | 3% | +2885% | $698K |
| 7 | International Court of Justice | 2% | +4551% | $759K |
| 8 | Narendra Modi | 2% | +5961% | $539K |
| 9 | Xi Jinping | 2% | +6150% | $1.0M |
| 10 | Greta Thunberg | 1% | +7900% | $1.2M |
| 11 | Recep Tayyip Erdoğan | 1% | +9424% | $691K |
| 12 | Charlie Kirk | 1% | +9424% | $883K |
| 13 | Ahmed al-Sharaa | 1% | +14186% | $910K |
| 14 | António Guterres | 1% | +18082% | $400K |
| 15 | Khaled Mashal | 1% | +18082% | $437K |
| 16 | Mohammed bin Salman | 1% | +18082% | $795K |
| 17 | Julian Assange | 1% | +18082% | $484K |
| 18 | Vladimir Putin | 1% | +18082% | $708K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, th...
As of May 15, 2026 at 00:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Yulia Navalnaya at 8% probability, with $16.6M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $16.6M, with $151K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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