No clear favorite. Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms leads at just 15%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $25.0M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms | 15% | +571% | $36K |
| 2 | UNRWA | 7% | +1415% | $2.1M |
| 3 | Yulia Navalnaya | 6% | +1567% | $314K |
| 4 | Save the Children BEST VALUE | 6% | +1670% | $17K |
| 5 | International Court of Justice | 5% | +2005% | $918K |
| 6 | Committee to Protect Journalists | 5% | +2051% | $7K |
| 7 | Pope Leo XIV | 2% | +5305% | $828K |
| 8 | Donald Trump | 2% | +5456% | $5.2M |
| 9 | Sara Al-Saqqa | 2% | +5456% | $7K |
| 10 | Chow Hang-tung | 2% | +5614% | $15K |
| 11 | Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 2% | +5782% | $845K |
| 12 | Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani | 1% | +7900% | $805K |
| 13 | Greta Thunberg | 1% | +8596% | $1.5M |
| 14 | António Guterres | 1% | +11665% | $643K |
| 15 | World Central Kitchen | 1% | +11665% | $5K |
| 16 | Ahmed al-Sharaa | 1% | +15285% | $1.3M |
| 17 | Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya | 1% | +15285% | $4K |
| 18 | Julian Assange | 1% | +16567% | $858K |
| 19 | Reporters Without Borders | 1% | +16567% | $6K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, th...
This prediction market tracks whether Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 will occur, with $25.0M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms leads at only 15% across 19 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
The market has seen $46K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-04-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 27, 2026 at 07:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms at 15% probability, with $25.0M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $25.0M, with $46K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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