No clear favorite. 100M+ leads at just 36%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100M+ | 36% | +182% | $9K |
| 2 | 90-100M | 26% | +292% | $2K |
| 3 | 80-90M | 22% | +365% | $3K |
| 4 | 70-80M | 16% | +545% | $3K |
| 5 | 60-70M BEST VALUE | 8% | +1233% | $2K |
| 6 | 50-60M | 2% | +5782% | $1K |
| 7 | <50M | 1% | +8596% | $2K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a...
This prediction market tracks whether # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? will occur, with $24K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by social media trends, industry insider signals, and historical patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — 100M+ leads at only 36% across 7 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $23K traded in the last 24 hours alone (97% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-10. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 30, 2026 at 09:15 UTC, the leading outcome is 100M+ at 36% probability, with $24K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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