150M+ leads at 80%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 150M+ | 80% | +25% | $5K |
| 2 | 140-150M BEST VALUE | 6% | +1513% | $706 |
| 3 | 130-140M | 4% | +2432% | $806 |
| 4 | 120-130M | 2% | +5614% | $2K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the number of views the most recent YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If the reported value falls exactly between two...
This prediction market tracks whether # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Higher Brackets) will occur, with $19K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by social media trends, industry insider signals, and historical patterns.
Traders lean toward 150M+ at 80%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $19K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-10. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 04, 2026 at 23:05 UTC, the leading outcome is 150M+ at 80% probability, with $19K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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