No clear favorite. 180-190M leads at just 25%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 180-190M | 25% | +300% | $188 |
| 2 | 190-200M | 24% | +326% | $583 |
| 3 | 170-180M | 20% | +388% | $422 |
| 4 | 160-170M | 18% | +471% | $171 |
| 5 | 150-160M | 14% | +641% | $2K |
| 6 | 200M+ | 8% | +1076% | $7K |
| 7 | <150M BEST VALUE | 6% | +1513% | $8K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the number of views the YouTube video "Lose 150 Lbs Together, Win $250,000" by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If the reported value falls e...
This prediction market tracks whether # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Higher Brackets) will occur, with $18K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by social media trends, industry insider signals, and historical patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — 180-190M leads at only 25% across 7 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $18K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-24. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 19, 2026 at 16:35 UTC, the leading outcome is 180-190M at 25% probability, with $18K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms