This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
| # | Outcome | Probability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $100M | 62% | $177K |
| 2 | $100M | 59% | $43K |
| 3 | $300M | 43% | $36K |
| 4 | $500M | 32% | $1.9M |
| 5 | $1B | 14% | $1.8M |
| 6 | $2B | 7% | $415K |
| 7 | $5B | 3% | $422K |
| 8 | $3B | 3% | $686K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
As of Mar 30, 2026 at 22:00 UTC, the leading outcome is $100M at 62% probability, with $5.5M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $5.5M, with $79K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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