No clear favorite. $17.5B–$20B leads at just 18%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $17.5B–$20B | 18% | +441% | $3K |
| 2 | $20B+ | 18% | +471% | $5K |
| 3 | $7.5B–$10B | 14% | +590% | $13K |
| 4 | $15B–$17.5B | 12% | +700% | $4K |
| 5 | <$7.5B | 12% | +733% | $8K |
| 6 | $10B–$12.5B BEST VALUE | 8% | +1076% | $6K |
| 7 | $12.5B–$15B | 8% | +1076% | $5K |
| 8 | No IPO before January 2027 | 2% | +5456% | $481 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO...
This prediction market tracks whether Oura IPO Closing Market Cap will occur, with $45K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
No clear favorite has emerged — $17.5B–$20B leads at only 18% across 8 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $29K traded in the last 24 hours alone (64% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-01-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 10, 2026 at 08:05 UTC, the leading outcome is $17.5B–$20B at 18% probability, with $45K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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