The market strongly favors O/U 0.5 at 97%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 | 97% | +3% | $762 |
| 2 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 0.5 | 95% | +6% | $8 |
| 3 | O/U 1.5 | 86% | +16% | $6K |
| 4 | 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 86% | +16% | - |
| 5 | 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 80% | +25% | $110 |
| 6 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 78% | +29% | - |
| 7 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 1.5 | 77% | +30% | $1K |
| 8 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 70% | +44% | - |
| 9 | O/U 2.5 | 68% | +46% | $2K |
| 10 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5) | 58% | +71% | $10K |
| 11 | 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 57% | +75% | - |
| 12 | Vitória SC O/U 0.5 | 52% | +90% | $328 |
| 13 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 2.5 | 51% | +96% | $322 |
| 14 | Both Teams to Score | 50% | +98% | $523 |
| 15 | Vitória SC (-5.5) | 50% | +102% | - |
| 16 | Vitória SC 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 48% | +111% | - |
| 17 | 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 46% | +115% | $559 |
| 18 | O/U 3.5 | 46% | +120% | $6K |
| 19 | Vitória SC (-4.5) BEST VALUE | 43% | +133% | - |
| 20 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 43% | +133% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
More markets for the Primeira Liga game, scheduled for October 11 at 1:00 PM ET.
This prediction market tracks whether Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC - More Markets will occur, with $42K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: O/U 0.5 is priced at 97%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $38K traded in the last 24 hours alone (90% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 11, 2026 at 16:45 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 at 97% probability, with $42K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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