The market strongly favors O/U 0.5 at 96%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 | 96% | +4% | $2K |
| 2 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 0.5 | 93% | +8% | $972 |
| 3 | O/U 1.5 | 82% | +21% | $2K |
| 4 | 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 82% | +23% | - |
| 5 | 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 76% | +31% | - |
| 6 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 76% | +32% | - |
| 7 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 1.5 | 73% | +37% | $241 |
| 8 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 66% | +50% | $46 |
| 9 | O/U 2.5 | 62% | +63% | $2K |
| 10 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5) | 57% | +74% | $13K |
| 11 | 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 52% | +94% | $30 |
| 12 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 2.5 | 46% | +115% | $83 |
| 13 | Casa Pia AC O/U 0.5 | 46% | +120% | $975 |
| 14 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 43% | +133% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams to Score | 42% | +135% | $4K |
| 16 | 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 40% | +147% | $79 |
| 17 | O/U 3.5 | 38% | +160% | $1K |
| 18 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5) | 36% | +182% | $689 |
| 19 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 30% | +228% | - |
| 20 | Casa Pia AC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BEST VALUE | 28% | +257% | $5 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
More markets for the Primeira Liga game, scheduled for August 16 at 3:30 PM ET.
This prediction market tracks whether Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica - More Markets will occur, with $31K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: O/U 0.5 is priced at 96%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $30K traded in the last 24 hours alone (94% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-17. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 17, 2026 at 16:05 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 at 96% probability, with $31K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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