No clear favorite. JD Vance leads at just 19%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $580.8M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JD Vance | 19% | +436% | $12.0M |
| 2 | Gavin Newsom | 17% | +501% | $16.4M |
| 3 | Marco Rubio | 14% | +627% | $9.8M |
| 4 | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 5% | +1769% | $11.4M |
| 5 | Kamala Harris BEST VALUE | 5% | +1805% | $7.4M |
| 6 | Jon Ossoff | 4% | +2640% | $4.2M |
| 7 | Ron DeSantis | 4% | +2717% | $10.8M |
| 8 | Tucker Carlson | 3% | +3179% | $11.0M |
| 9 | Josh Shapiro | 3% | +3290% | $6.3M |
| 10 | Donald Trump | 2% | +3900% | $7.8M |
| 11 | Pete Buttigieg | 2% | +4344% | $4.4M |
| 12 | Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson | 2% | +5961% | $6.7M |
| 13 | Andy Beshear | 2% | +6352% | $18.2M |
| 14 | Donald Trump Jr. | 1% | +6797% | $12.2M |
| 15 | JB Pritzker | 1% | +7307% | $11.7M |
| 16 | Thomas Massie | 1% | +9424% | $5.0M |
| 17 | Elon Musk | 1% | +10426% | $23.8M |
| 18 | Gretchen Whitmer | 1% | +10426% | $10.3M |
| 19 | Stephen Smith | 1% | +10426% | $31.0M |
| 20 | Ivanka Trump | 1% | +10426% | $6.3M |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolv...
As of May 14, 2026 at 20:05 UTC, the leading outcome is JD Vance at 19% probability, with $580.8M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $580.8M, with $1.3M traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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