This market will resolve according to how much "Project Hail Mary" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1993768961/weekend/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
| # | Outcome | Probability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | >54m | 99% | $36K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
As of Mar 30, 2026 at 22:00 UTC, the leading outcome is >54m at 99% probability, with $188K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $188K, with $47K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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