The market strongly favors O/U 0.5 at 99%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 | 99% | +1% | $270 |
| 2 | O/U 1.5 | 99% | +1% | $4K |
| 3 | CD Fátima O/U 0.5 | 99% | +1% | $732 |
| 4 | CD Fátima 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 99% | +1% | $101 |
| 5 | 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 99% | +1% | $504 |
| 6 | CD Fátima 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 99% | +1% | $5 |
| 7 | Sport Benfica e Castelo Branco O/U 0.5 | 95% | +5% | $1K |
| 8 | CD Fátima O/U 1.5 | 88% | +14% | $5K |
| 9 | CD Fátima O/U 2.5 | 85% | +18% | $6K |
| 10 | O/U 3.5 | 78% | +29% | $2K |
| 11 | CD Fátima (-1.5) | 76% | +32% | $373 |
| 12 | O/U 2.5 | 70% | +42% | $5K |
| 13 | Both Teams to Score | 65% | +54% | $2K |
| 14 | 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 53% | +89% | $33 |
| 15 | Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 52% | +93% | $524 |
| 16 | 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 51% | +95% | $154 |
| 17 | 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 51% | +97% | $449 |
| 18 | CD Fátima 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 19 | Sport Benfica e Castelo Branco 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% | +99% | - |
| 20 | Sport Benfica e Castelo Branco 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BEST VALUE | 49% | +103% | $65 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
More markets for the Taca de Portugal game, scheduled for August 30 at 12:00 PM ET.
This prediction market tracks whether CD Fátima vs. Sport Benfica e Castelo Branco - More Markets will occur, with $30K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: O/U 0.5 is priced at 99%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $30K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 29, 2026 at 20:46 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 at 99% probability, with $30K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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