Market is split — Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
High Volume — $616.7M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 49% | +104% | - |
| 2 | J.D. Vance | 36% | +177% | $12.8M |
| 3 | Marco Rubio | 25% | +294% | $8.7M |
| 4 | Tucker Carlson BEST VALUE | 6% | +1553% | $11.0M |
| 5 | Ron DeSantis | 5% | +2051% | $13.6M |
| 6 | Donald Trump Jr. | 2% | +3900% | $8.1M |
| 7 | Donald Trump | 2% | +5028% | $8.1M |
| 8 | Glenn Youngkin | 1% | +8596% | $7.3M |
| 9 | Vivek Ramaswamy | 1% | +8596% | $14.8M |
| 10 | Thomas Massie | 1% | +8596% | $4.0M |
| 11 | Tulsi Gabbard | 1% | +9424% | $12.3M |
| 12 | Rand Paul | 1% | +10426% | $18.3M |
| 13 | Marjorie Taylor Greene | 1% | +10426% | $6.0M |
| 14 | Ivanka Trump | 1% | +10426% | $7.2M |
| 15 | Nikki Haley | 1% | +11665% | $9.0M |
| 16 | Brian Kemp | 1% | +11665% | $16.5M |
| 17 | Josh Hawley | 1% | +11665% | $18.8M |
| 18 | Elon Musk | 1% | +11665% | $27.9M |
| 19 | John Thune | 1% | +11665% | $32.8M |
| 20 | Kim Kardashian | 1% | +13233% | $27.0M |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution...
As of May 14, 2026 at 20:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49% probability, with $616.7M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $616.7M, with $831K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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