This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid recorded price in March as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
| # | Outcome | Probability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | >$6,500 | 5% | $46K |
| 2 | >$6,600 | 3% | $28K |
| 3 | >$6,700 | 1% | $12K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
As of Mar 30, 2026 at 22:00 UTC, the leading outcome is >$6,500 at 5% probability, with $108K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $108K, with $32K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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