No clear favorite. $150-$155 leads at just 20%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $150-$155 | 20% | +388% | $2K |
| 2 | $160-$165 | 20% | +409% | $2K |
| 3 | $155-$160 | 14% | +614% | $2K |
| 4 | <$140 | 10% | +890% | $3K |
| 5 | $145-$150 | 9% | +958% | $2K |
| 6 | $165-$170 BEST VALUE | 8% | +1233% | $1K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between t...
This prediction market tracks whether SpaceX (SPCX) closes week of Oct 12 at ___? will occur, with $17K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
No clear favorite has emerged — $150-$155 leads at only 20% across 6 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-16. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 14, 2026 at 09:25 UTC, the leading outcome is $150-$155 at 20% probability, with $17K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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