No clear favorite. S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22? leads at just 38%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22? | 38% | +167% | $20K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on June 22 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading...
This prediction market tracks whether S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22? will occur, with $20K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
No clear favorite has emerged — S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22? leads at only 38% across 1 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $18K traded in the last 24 hours alone (89% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-22. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 22, 2026 at 09:35 UTC, the leading outcome is S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22? at 38% probability, with $20K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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