Chiang Wan-an leads at 67%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
High Volume — $2.2M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chiang Wan-an | 67% | +49% | $987K |
| 2 | Candidate A BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Candidate B | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Candidate C | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Candidate D | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Candidate E | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Candidate F | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Candidate G | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Candidate H | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Candidate I | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Candidate J | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Candidate K | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Candidate L | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Candidate M | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Candidate N | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Candidate O | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Candidate P | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Candidate Q | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Candidate R | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Candidate S | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Tempor...
This prediction market tracks whether Taipei Mayor Election Winner will occur, with $2.2M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
Traders lean toward Chiang Wan-an at 67%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Recent trading volume of $200K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-29. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 28, 2026 at 02:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Chiang Wan-an at 67% probability, with $2.2M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $2.2M, with $200K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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