The market strongly favors O/U 0.5 at 95%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 | 95% | +5% | $10 |
| 2 | PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 0.5 | 92% | +9% | - |
| 3 | 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 80% | +24% | - |
| 4 | O/U 1.5 | 80% | +25% | - |
| 5 | 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 74% | +36% | $20 |
| 6 | PFK CSKA Sofia 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 74% | +36% | - |
| 7 | PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 1.5 | 68% | +46% | $713 |
| 8 | O/U 2.5 | 58% | +72% | $247 |
| 9 | PFK CSKA Sofia (-1.5) | 56% | +79% | $28K |
| 10 | PFK CSKA Sofia 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 52% | +90% | - |
| 11 | PFK CSKA Sofia 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 51% | +96% | $85 |
| 12 | Derry City FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 13 | Derry City FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 15 | Derry City FC O/U 0.5 | 46% | +120% | $49 |
| 16 | PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 2.5 | 44% | +130% | $35 |
| 17 | Both Teams to Score | 42% | +135% | $278 |
| 18 | 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 39% | +156% | $29 |
| 19 | PFK CSKA Sofia 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 38% | +163% | - |
| 20 | O/U 3.5 BEST VALUE | 34% | +190% | $83 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
More markets for the UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for July 9 at 2:00 PM ET.
This prediction market tracks whether PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Derry City FC - More Markets will occur, with $30K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: O/U 0.5 is priced at 95%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $25K traded in the last 24 hours alone (83% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-09. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 09, 2026 at 03:25 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 at 95% probability, with $30K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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