O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 74%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 74% | +36% | - |
| 2 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 64% | +55% | - |
| 3 | Ends before Round 5? | 57% | +74% | - |
| 4 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 57% | +75% | - |
| 5 | O/U 3.5 Rounds | 50% | +98% | - |
| 6 | Ends before Round 4? | 49% | +104% | - |
| 7 | Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van | 44% | +125% | $36K |
| 8 | Ends before Round 3? | 40% | +147% | - |
| 9 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 40% | +153% | $30 |
| 10 | O/U 4.5 Rounds | 40% | +153% | - |
| 11 | Fight won by decision? | 37% | +170% | - |
| 12 | Decision or Draw | 36% | +174% | - |
| 13 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 34% | +199% | - |
| 14 | Fight won by submission? | 33% | +203% | $2 |
| 15 | Van to win by KO/TKO? | 31% | +223% | - |
| 16 | Pantoja in Round 1 | 28% | +264% | - |
| 17 | Pantoja in Round 2 | 27% | +270% | - |
| 18 | Van in Round 2 | 27% | +270% | - |
| 19 | Pantoja in Round 3 BEST VALUE | 26% | +277% | - |
| 20 | Pantoja in Round 4 | 26% | +277% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Alexandre Pantoja" if Alexandre Pantoja is officially declared the winner of the fight against Joshua Van at UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2, scheduled for September 19, 2026....
This prediction market tracks whether UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) will occur, with $41K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward O/U 0.5 Rounds at 74%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $16K traded in the last 24 hours alone (39% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 17, 2026 at 15:25 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 Rounds at 74% probability, with $41K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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