The market strongly favors O/U 0.5 Rounds at 91%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 91% | +10% | $1 |
| 2 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 76% | +32% | - |
| 3 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 66% | +50% | $276 |
| 4 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 64% | +55% | $238 |
| 5 | Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara | 30% | +228% | $28K |
| 6 | Fight won by submission? | 23% | +335% | $51 |
| 7 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 22% | +365% | - |
| 8 | Lemos to win by KO/TKO? | 10% | +852% | - |
| 9 | Thainara to win by KO/TKO? BEST VALUE | 10% | +953% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Amanda Lemos" if Amanda Lemos is officially declared the winner of the fight against Alexia Thainara at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2026....
This prediction market tracks whether UFC Fight Night: Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara (Women's Strawweight, Prelims) will occur, with $29K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: O/U 0.5 Rounds is priced at 91%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $14K traded in the last 24 hours alone (48% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-09. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 07, 2026 at 20:35 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 Rounds at 91% probability, with $29K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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