The market strongly favors Bilal Hasan vs. Mridul Saikia at 92%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bilal Hasan vs. Mridul Saikia | 92% | +8% | $12K |
| 2 | Hasan to win by KO/TKO? | 70% | +43% | $622 |
| 3 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 52% | +94% | - |
| 4 | Fight won by submission? | 45% | +122% | $627 |
| 5 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 44% | +125% | - |
| 6 | Saikia to win by KO/TKO? | 44% | +130% | - |
| 7 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 34% | +199% | $8 |
| 8 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 32% | +212% | - |
| 9 | Fight to Go the Distance? BEST VALUE | 26% | +277% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Bilal Hasan" if Bilal Hasan is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mridul Saikia at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 1, scheduled for August...
This prediction market tracks whether Dana White's Contender Series: Bilal Hasan vs. Mridul Saikia (Flyweight, Main Card) will occur, with $14K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Bilal Hasan vs. Mridul Saikia is priced at 92%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $11K traded in the last 24 hours alone (79% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-12. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 11, 2026 at 11:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Bilal Hasan vs. Mridul Saikia at 92% probability, with $14K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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