Fight won by KO/TKO? leads at 78%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 78% | +29% | $103 |
| 2 | Liu Ce vs. Levi Rodrigues Jr. | 62% | +60% | $14K |
| 3 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 62% | +60% | - |
| 4 | Ce to win by KO/TKO? | 55% | +82% | $21 |
| 5 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 38% | +163% | $8K |
| 6 | Rodrigues Jr. to win by KO/TKO? | 31% | +223% | - |
| 7 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 22% | +355% | - |
| 8 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 18% | +471% | - |
| 9 | Fight won by submission? BEST VALUE | 6% | +1438% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Liu Ce" if Liu Ce is officially declared the winner of the fight against Levi Rodrigues Jr. at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026. It w...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC Fight Night: Liu Ce vs. Levi Rodrigues Jr. (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) will occur, with $22K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Fight won by KO/TKO? at 78%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $21K traded in the last 24 hours alone (92% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 29, 2026 at 03:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Fight won by KO/TKO? at 78% probability, with $22K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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