O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 76%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 76% | +32% | - |
| 2 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 64% | +56% | - |
| 3 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 54% | +87% | $1K |
| 4 | Pinas to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | +100% | $36 |
| 5 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 32% | +208% | - |
| 6 | Cesar Almeida vs. Damian Pinas | 30% | +228% | $306K |
| 7 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 24% | +317% | $2 |
| 8 | Almeida to win by KO/TKO? BEST VALUE | 14% | +614% | $15 |
| 9 | Fight won by submission? | 14% | +614% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Cesar Almeida" if Cesar Almeida is officially declared the winner of the fight against Damian Pinas at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026. It w...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC 329: Cesar Almeida vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Early Prelims) will occur, with $307K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward O/U 0.5 Rounds at 76%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $289K traded in the last 24 hours alone (94% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-12. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 11, 2026 at 00:35 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 Rounds at 76% probability, with $307K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $307K, with $289K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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