O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 72%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 72% | +38% | - |
| 2 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 65% | +54% | - |
| 3 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 60% | +67% | $110 |
| 4 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 54% | +87% | - |
| 5 | Fight won by decision? | 52% | +90% | - |
| 6 | Decision or Draw | 52% | +90% | - |
| 7 | Ends before Round 3? | 40% | +153% | - |
| 8 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 36% | +178% | - |
| 9 | Ends before Round 2? | 32% | +217% | - |
| 10 | Croden to win by KO/TKO? | 31% | +223% | - |
| 11 | Fight won by submission? | 31% | +223% | - |
| 12 | Croden in Round 1 | 28% | +251% | - |
| 13 | Croden in Round 2 | 28% | +264% | - |
| 14 | Chandler to win by KO/TKO? | 26% | +277% | - |
| 15 | Chandler in Round 1 | 26% | +277% | - |
| 16 | Chandler in Round 3 | 26% | +277% | - |
| 17 | Croden in Round 3 | 26% | +277% | - |
| 18 | Chelsea Chandler vs. Melissa Croden BEST VALUE | 26% | +292% | $16K |
| 19 | Chandler in Round 2 | 26% | +292% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Chelsea Chandler" if Chelsea Chandler is officially declared the winner of the fight against Melissa Croden at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 1...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC Fight Night: Chelsea Chandler vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims) will occur, with $16K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward O/U 0.5 Rounds at 72%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $14K traded in the last 24 hours alone (87% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-18. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 15, 2026 at 13:15 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 Rounds at 72% probability, with $16K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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