O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 72%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 72% | +39% | - |
| 2 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 71% | +41% | $210 |
| 3 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 68% | +48% | $39 |
| 4 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 68% | +48% | - |
| 5 | Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista | 56% | +80% | $27K |
| 6 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Sandhagen to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Bautista to win by KO/TKO? | 48% | +106% | - |
| 9 | Fight won by submission? BEST VALUE | 48% | +108% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Cory Sandhagen" if Cory Sandhagen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mario Bautista at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026....
This prediction market tracks whether UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card) will occur, with $27K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward O/U 0.5 Rounds at 72%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours alone (57% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-12. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 08, 2026 at 09:15 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 Rounds at 72% probability, with $27K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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