Market is split — Parnasse to win by KO/TKO? at 52%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parnasse to win by KO/TKO? | 52% | +92% | $19 |
| 2 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 50% | +98% | - |
| 3 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 50% | +98% | - |
| 4 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 50% | +102% | - |
| 6 | Hooker to win by KO/TKO? | 49% | +104% | - |
| 7 | Fight won by submission? | 49% | +104% | - |
| 8 | O/U 4.5 Rounds | 44% | +127% | - |
| 9 | O/U 3.5 Rounds | 32% | +217% | - |
| 10 | Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse | 20% | +413% | $22K |
| 11 | Fight to Go the Distance? BEST VALUE | 16% | +545% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Dan Hooker" if Dan Hooker is officially declared the winner of the fight against Salahdine Parnasse at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 202...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card) will occur, with $22K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Parnasse to win by KO/TKO? leading at just 52%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $8K traded in the last 24 hours alone (39% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-06. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 01, 2026 at 02:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Parnasse to win by KO/TKO? at 52% probability, with $22K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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