Fight won by KO/TKO? leads at 77%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 77% | +30% | - |
| 2 | Medic to win by KO/TKO? | 68% | +47% | $8 |
| 3 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 65% | +54% | $215 |
| 4 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 38% | +167% | $647 |
| 5 | Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic | 22% | +344% | $18K |
| 6 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 22% | +344% | $8 |
| 7 | O/U 3.5 Rounds | 18% | +471% | $107 |
| 8 | Rodriguez to win by KO/TKO? | 14% | +590% | - |
| 9 | Fight won by submission? | 12% | +700% | - |
| 10 | O/U 4.5 Rounds | 12% | +733% | - |
| 11 | Fight to Go the Distance? BEST VALUE | 11% | +809% | $6 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Daniel Rodriguez" if Daniel Rodriguez is officially declared the winner of the fight against Uroš Medic at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 20...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card) will occur, with $19K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Fight won by KO/TKO? at 77%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $9K traded in the last 24 hours alone (45% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-02. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 01, 2026 at 01:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Fight won by KO/TKO? at 77% probability, with $19K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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