O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 73%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 73% | +37% | - |
| 2 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 72% | +39% | - |
| 3 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 66% | +50% | - |
| 4 | Fight won by decision? | 59% | +69% | - |
| 5 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 58% | +71% | - |
| 6 | Decision or Draw | 58% | +71% | - |
| 7 | Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Alice Pereira | 44% | +125% | $23K |
| 8 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 38% | +163% | - |
| 9 | Ends before Round 3? | 37% | +170% | - |
| 10 | Pereira to win by KO/TKO? | 32% | +217% | - |
| 11 | Ends before Round 2? | 31% | +223% | - |
| 12 | Zhelezniakova to win by KO/TKO? | 30% | +239% | - |
| 13 | Pereira in Round 1 | 28% | +264% | - |
| 14 | Zhelezniakova in Round 3 | 26% | +277% | - |
| 15 | Pereira in Round 2 | 26% | +277% | - |
| 16 | Pereira in Round 3 | 26% | +277% | - |
| 17 | Fight won by submission? | 26% | +285% | - |
| 18 | Zhelezniakova in Round 1 | 26% | +285% | - |
| 19 | Zhelezniakova in Round 2 BEST VALUE | 26% | +292% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Daria Zhelezniakova" if Daria Zhelezniakova is officially declared the winner of the fight against Alice Pereira at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for Octobe...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims) will occur, with $23K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward O/U 0.5 Rounds at 73%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $18K traded in the last 24 hours alone (81% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 10, 2026 at 06:45 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 Rounds at 73% probability, with $23K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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