O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 71%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 71% | +41% | - |
| 2 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 61% | +64% | - |
| 3 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 50% | +102% | - |
| 4 | Ends before Round 3? | 44% | +127% | - |
| 5 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 43% | +133% | - |
| 6 | Fight won by decision? | 43% | +133% | - |
| 7 | Decision or Draw | 43% | +133% | - |
| 8 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 42% | +138% | - |
| 9 | Smith to win by KO/TKO? | 36% | +174% | - |
| 10 | Smith in Round 1 | 31% | +223% | - |
| 11 | Fight won by submission? | 30% | +233% | - |
| 12 | Smith in Round 2 | 30% | +239% | - |
| 13 | Grant to win by KO/TKO? | 28% | +251% | - |
| 14 | Davey Grant vs. Elijah Smith | 28% | +264% | $18K |
| 15 | Smith in Round 3 | 27% | +270% | - |
| 16 | Grant in Round 1 | 26% | +277% | - |
| 17 | Grant in Round 2 | 26% | +277% | - |
| 18 | Grant in Round 3 | 26% | +277% | - |
| 19 | Ends before Round 2? BEST VALUE | 25% | +300% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Davey Grant" if Davey Grant is officially declared the winner of the fight against Elijah Smith at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It w...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Elijah Smith (Bantamweight, Main Card) will occur, with $18K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward O/U 0.5 Rounds at 71%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $16K traded in the last 24 hours alone (91% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-08. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Nov 05, 2026 at 21:45 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 Rounds at 71% probability, with $18K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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