The market strongly favors O/U 0.5 Rounds at 88%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 88% | +14% | - |
| 2 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 65% | +54% | $100 |
| 3 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 50% | +98% | $5K |
| 4 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 46% | +115% | $249 |
| 5 | Ends before Round 3? | 45% | +122% | $249 |
| 6 | Talbott to win by KO/TKO? | 42% | +138% | $1K |
| 7 | Fight won by decision? | 42% | +141% | - |
| 8 | Decision or Draw | 42% | +141% | - |
| 9 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 41% | +144% | $5K |
| 10 | Ends before Round 2? | 24% | +317% | $70 |
| 11 | Talbott in Round 1 | 21% | +376% | - |
| 12 | Talbott in Round 2 | 19% | +426% | - |
| 13 | Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott | 14% | +590% | $34K |
| 14 | Fight won by submission? | 14% | +590% | $340 |
| 15 | Talbott in Round 3 | 14% | +590% | $370 |
| 16 | Figueiredo in Round 1 | 10% | +900% | $9 |
| 17 | Figueiredo to win by KO/TKO? | 10% | +953% | - |
| 18 | Figueiredo in Round 2 | 8% | +1076% | - |
| 19 | Figueiredo in Round 3 BEST VALUE | 8% | +1150% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Deiveson Figueiredo" if Deiveson Figueiredo is officially declared the winner of the fight against Payton Talbott at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC 332: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card) will occur, with $46K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: O/U 0.5 Rounds is priced at 88%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $29K traded in the last 24 hours alone (63% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-04. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 04, 2026 at 00:05 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 Rounds at 88% probability, with $46K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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