Dione Barbosa vs. Anna Melisano leads at 84%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dione Barbosa vs. Anna Melisano | 84% | +20% | $18K |
| 2 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 82% | +23% | $338 |
| 3 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 57% | +75% | $581 |
| 4 | Fight won by submission? | 52% | +92% | $1K |
| 5 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 44% | +125% | $47K |
| 6 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 36% | +178% | $578 |
| 7 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 18% | +471% | $337 |
| 8 | Barbosa to win by KO/TKO? | 12% | +770% | $303 |
| 9 | Melisano to win by KO/TKO? BEST VALUE | 6% | +1438% | $719 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Dione Barbosa" if Dione Barbosa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Anna Melisano at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman, scheduled for July 18, 2026....
This prediction market tracks whether UFC Fight Night: Dione Barbosa vs. Anna Melisano (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) will occur, with $69K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Dione Barbosa vs. Anna Melisano at 84%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $59K traded in the last 24 hours alone (86% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-19. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 18, 2026 at 19:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Dione Barbosa vs. Anna Melisano at 84% probability, with $69K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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