Fight won by KO/TKO? leads at 78%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 78% | +28% | $6 |
| 2 | Abdullaev to win by KO/TKO? | 71% | +41% | $33 |
| 3 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 65% | +54% | $5K |
| 4 | Abdullaev in Round 1 | 62% | +63% | $2K |
| 5 | Ends before Round 2? | 60% | +67% | $213 |
| 6 | Ends before Round 3? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Santos in Round 2 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 8 | Santos in Round 3 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 9 | Abdullaev in Round 3 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 10 | Santos in Round 1 | 49% | +104% | - |
| 11 | Abdullaev in Round 2 | 49% | +104% | - |
| 12 | Decision or Draw | 49% | +104% | - |
| 13 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 26% | +292% | $147 |
| 14 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 16% | +545% | - |
| 15 | Fight won by decision? | 12% | +700% | - |
| 16 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 8% | +1076% | - |
| 17 | Fight won by submission? | 7% | +1329% | $49 |
| 18 | Ednilson Santos vs. Akbar Abdullaev BEST VALUE | 6% | +1718% | $16K |
| 19 | Santos to win by KO/TKO? | 4% | +2432% | $188 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Ednilson Santos" if Ednilson Santos is officially declared the winner of the fight against Akbar Abdullaev at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 6, scheduled f...
This prediction market tracks whether Dana White's Contender Series: Ednilson Santos vs. Akbar Abdullaev (Lightweight, Main Card) will occur, with $24K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Fight won by KO/TKO? at 78%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $14K traded in the last 24 hours alone (60% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-16. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 15, 2026 at 22:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Fight won by KO/TKO? at 78% probability, with $24K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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