O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 72%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 72% | +40% | - |
| 2 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 58% | +71% | $230 |
| 3 | Johnson to win by KO/TKO? | 57% | +74% | - |
| 4 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 40% | +147% | - |
| 5 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 40% | +147% | - |
| 6 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 38% | +167% | - |
| 7 | McConico to win by KO/TKO? | 38% | +167% | - |
| 8 | Fight won by submission? | 33% | +203% | - |
| 9 | Eric McConico vs. Donte Johnson BEST VALUE | 28% | +251% | $26K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Eric McConico" if Eric McConico is officially declared the winner of the fight against Donte Johnson at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC 330: Eric McConico vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Early Prelims) will occur, with $27K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward O/U 0.5 Rounds at 72%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $11K traded in the last 24 hours alone (42% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-16. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 13, 2026 at 10:15 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 Rounds at 72% probability, with $27K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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