The market strongly favors Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf at 92%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf | 92% | +8% | $19K |
| 2 | Ends before Round 3? | 88% | +14% | - |
| 3 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 78% | +28% | $401 |
| 4 | Steveson to win by KO/TKO? | 76% | +32% | - |
| 5 | Ends before Round 2? | 70% | +42% | - |
| 6 | Fight won by submission? | 57% | +75% | - |
| 7 | Fight won by decision? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Steveson in Round 1 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Steveson in Round 2 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Steveson in Round 3 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Sharaf in Round 1 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Sharaf in Round 2 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Sharaf in Round 3 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Decision or Draw | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 46% | +120% | - |
| 16 | Sharaf to win by KO/TKO? | 18% | +441% | - |
| 17 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 18% | +441% | $727 |
| 18 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 12% | +733% | - |
| 19 | Fight to Go the Distance? BEST VALUE | 7% | +1329% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Gable Steveson" if Gable Steveson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Sean Sharaf at UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2, scheduled for September 19, 2026. It w...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC 331: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf (Heavyweight, Prelims) will occur, with $20K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf is priced at 92%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours alone (77% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 18, 2026 at 05:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf at 92% probability, with $20K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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