The market strongly favors O/U 0.5 Rounds at 88%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 88% | +14% | - |
| 2 | Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado | 78% | +27% | $11K |
| 3 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 66% | +52% | $16 |
| 4 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 62% | +60% | $67K |
| 5 | Silva to win by KO/TKO? | 56% | +77% | $469 |
| 6 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 44% | +130% | $36 |
| 7 | O/U 3.5 Rounds | 30% | +228% | $21 |
| 8 | O/U 4.5 Rounds | 23% | +335% | - |
| 9 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 20% | +400% | $20 |
| 10 | Delgado to win by KO/TKO? | 14% | +590% | - |
| 11 | Fight won by submission? BEST VALUE | 14% | +614% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Jean Silva" if Jean Silva is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jose Miguel Delgado at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026. It...
This prediction market tracks whether Noche UFC: Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Main Card) will occur, with $78K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: O/U 0.5 Rounds is priced at 88%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $62K traded in the last 24 hours alone (79% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-13. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 12, 2026 at 12:35 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 Rounds at 88% probability, with $78K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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