The market strongly favors Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov | 100% | - | $276K |
| 2 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | - | $119 |
| 3 | Lebosnoyani to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | - | $2K |
| 4 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | - | $51 |
| 5 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | - | $94 |
| 6 | Lebosnoyani in Round 3 | 100% | - | $5 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani" if Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani is officially declared the winner of the fight against Farman Hasanov at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Main Card) will occur, with $286K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $279K traded in the last 24 hours alone (97% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Nov 01, 2026 at 03:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov at 100% probability, with $286K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $286K, with $279K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms