The market strongly favors Souza to win by KO/TKO? at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Souza to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +0% | $152 |
| 2 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +1% | - |
| 3 | Ends before Round 2? | 97% | +3% | $50 |
| 4 | Souza in Round 1 | 97% | +3% | - |
| 5 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 90% | +10% | - |
| 6 | Ends before Round 3? | 90% | +11% | - |
| 7 | Fight won by decision? | 10% | +900% | - |
| 8 | Parsons in Round 3 | 10% | +900% | - |
| 9 | Souza in Round 2 | 10% | +900% | $24 |
| 10 | Decision or Draw | 10% | +900% | - |
| 11 | Fight won by submission? | 10% | +953% | - |
| 12 | Parsons in Round 1 | 10% | +953% | - |
| 13 | Parsons in Round 2 | 10% | +953% | - |
| 14 | Souza in Round 3 | 10% | +953% | - |
| 15 | Parsons to win by KO/TKO? BEST VALUE | 9% | +1011% | $29 |
| 16 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 4% | +2122% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Jonny Parsons" if Jonny Parsons is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jose Souza at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC Fight Night: Jonny Parsons vs. Jose Souza (Welterweight, Prelims) will occur, with $73K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Souza to win by KO/TKO? is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $72K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-08. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Nov 07, 2026 at 22:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Souza to win by KO/TKO? at 100% probability, with $73K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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