Market is split — Fight won by KO/TKO? at 58%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 58% | +71% | - |
| 2 | Fight to Go the Distance? BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Hokit to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Gane to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Fight won by submission? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | O/U 3.5 Rounds | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | O/U 4.5 Rounds | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Fight won by decision? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Ends before Round 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Ends before Round 3? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Ends before Round 4? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Ends before Round 5? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Hokit in Round 1 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Hokit in Round 2 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Hokit in Round 3 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Hokit in Round 4 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Hokit in Round 5 | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Josh Hokit" if Josh Hokit is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ciryl Gane at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026. It will resolve t...
This prediction market tracks whether UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) will occur, with $27K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Fight won by KO/TKO? leading at just 58%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $22K traded in the last 24 hours alone (81% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-15. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Nov 05, 2026 at 06:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Fight won by KO/TKO? at 58% probability, with $27K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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